Tuesday, September 2, 2008

2008 Preseason Power Rankings

Let me start off by saying these are *not* like other preseason power rankings. They are based completely on stats compiled during the preseason with absolutely no analysis. That seems kind of dumb, but my goal was not to try and assess who the best teams are, but who had the best preseason and who may be among the most improved teams. Clearly, any ranking that has the Patriots at 30 and the Colts at 31 are not something someone should consider a credible predictor of regular season success.

I included a column with the change in their ranking since the last time I compiled these at the end of the 2007 regular season to see how similar or different they looked in the preseason this year.

The things that stood out to me were things like Detroit allowing 8 pts/game and Tampa allowing 2.7 YPC. Those type of stats make up the basis for these rankings, but don't show up here. You can find the full spreadsheet used for my power ranking formula here.

You can find an explanation of how I came up with my formula here.



















































































































































































































Rank
Team
Team Strength
Change From Last 2007
1
Detroit
14.1
20.71
2
Tampa Bay
9.7
3.99
3
Carolina
9.4
15.09
4
Seattle
8.6
1.91
5
Miami
7.1
20.04
6
Jacksonville
6.3
-1.61
7
New Orleans
5.8
7.79
8
San Francisco
5.5
16.12
9
Denver
4.5
10.00
10
Atlanta
3.4
14.05
11
San Diego
3.1
-5.10
12
NY Jets
2.7
9.15
13
Philadelphia
2.5
-0.69
14
Tennessee
2.4
1.70
15
Arizona
2.2
1.87
16
Pittsburgh
2.1
-7.91
17
Buffalo
0
7.29
18
NY Giants
-0.1
-1.50
19
Houston
-1.7
-1.12
20
Chicago
-2.8
0.11
21
Dallas
-3.1
-13.06
22
St. Louis
-3.2
9.26
23
Cincinnati
-3.3
-2.61
24
Oakland
-5.2
3.84
25
Minnesota
-5.4
-10.83
26
Baltimore
-6.4
0.89
27
Green Bay
-7.3
-17.51
28
Kansas City
-7.4
1.23
29
Washington
-9.3
-11.78
30
New England
-9.4
-30.66
31
Indianapolis
-9.7
-23.09
32
Cleveland
-10.3
-11.70

3 comments :

Anonymous said...

yeap new england and indy do make the system just a bit suspect but the idea does help show how they did in preseason. Nice seeing how the teams did and would be nice seeing a new listing about week 3 or 4.

Funballad
wont take my password

hawkblogger said...

The system worked quite well last season. The real difference is how the teams play the preseason. Players like Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Matt Hasselbeck did not play.

If you look at my final rankings from last year, I make note the formula correctly predicted 9 of the 10 playoff teams.

I didn't start compiling them until week 3 last year. I'm going to do it each week this year.

Anonymous said...

Funballad,
Cool i will keep comeing back I really like how you set up your page. I hope more can find it.

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