Free Agent Big Board

After nearly completing my offseason analysis for the Seahawks, I am now in the process of building out my free agent big board. The big board ranks players, based on a variety of criteria, to determine which make the most sense for the Seahawks to pursue in free agency.

I ranked about 60 players last year, and found it a useful reference once free agency started. This year, I plan to rank many more, and am doing it position-by-position.

Scoring factors

ImpactHow much can the player impact the Seahawks in 2016?
Longevity – How much can the player impact the Seahawks over the next 3+ years?
Scheme fitHow well does the player fit how Seattle plays, and what they ask of that position?
Need How much do the Seahawks need to add a player that possesses these talents? This may differ by position. For example, the Seahawks need a left tackle more than center.
Affordability – What are the chances the Seahawks can afford this player?
Risk How likely is this player to earn the contract they would command? This takes into account confidence in a player’s performance, injury, off-field, and other things that could impact that question. A higher score means more risk.

 

The formula:

(impact * 2) + (longevity * 2) + (scheme fit * 2) + (need * 1.5) + (affordability * 5.5) – (risk*5) = Score

 

Guards & Centers Big Board

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No surprise that I have Osemele at the top. He’s my number one overall free agent target for the Seahawks. His ability to play either guard or tackle at a high level makes him an ideal fit for what Seattle needs.

Sweezy grades higher than many fans would expect. That is due to his youth, scheme fit, and ratio of affordability to risk. Should his price climb into the higher tier guards range, his score would drop significantly.

Evans and Mathis are similar vets who can be added for short-term deals, and add some quality experience and talent to the interior. Adding someone like that makes a lot of sense from a cap and immediate impact comparison.

Ryan Wendell is an interesting one. He played for the Pats and has started at both center and guard. That increases his value to Seattle.

Boone and Allen are nice players, but their cost is likely to outpace their value by more than I am comfortable with.

The top pure center on the list is Alex Mack. The centers, overall, we graded lower, in part, due to the fact the Seahawks have less of a need there with Patrick Lewis in tow.

Richie Incognito comes in at the bottom of this list (there are many more free agent guards that I chose not to grade that would be below him) because of his age, his cost, and the risk he represents both on and off the field.

4 Responses

  1. emmasgirl

    Glad to see someone give Patrick Lewis some love. The ‘Hawks have won with him at center 2 years in a row. Why Cable tried to force Nowak into the position starting is a mystery to me.

  2. atyler2011

    JR Sweezy? Seriously, Brian. The second worst graded RG in the league, and you have him at number two. Please.

    • Robert Loeder

      But he is nasty and can block well at the 2nd level which trumps his pathetic pass protection according to Tom Cable.

  3. Dániel Erdős

    I think Lewis is fine, Glowinski will be good at RG, but we need to think about tackles, and LG.
    I think the draft is full of good guard-potentials, but not sure if we can find a good LT/RT at 26th or later.
    We can maybe play Gilliam at RT? But we need an LG and an LT. For me it would depend on CAP space, trade (up/down) in the draft possibilities, draft class, FA possibilities.

    I read that because of the SEA-scheme, and Russell’s abilities, the Hawks need more solid interior line.
    Glowinski seems like a solid RG, and he can battle it out with Bailey, and Britt (uhh, he’s awful, but whatever, maybe he found some magic potion to play great). Lewis is OK, and we have some backups with Jeanpierre.
    I’d do one of these 2 possibilities:

    1, Do the big splash in FA by getting Osemele, trading Kam (and maybe Graham). With the Kam (and Graham?) trade, and some additional picks (this year first round, 5th round, next year 1st round, 4th round, 2018 2nd and 4th round or something like that) trade up as far as I could (like 1/6 would be nice, or 1/11-12, obviously 1/1 would be awesome too :D), get the best possible OT. Draft a DT in the 2nd, draft a T/G in the 3rd, an OLB/S in the 4th, DT/DE/WR in the 5th, C/DE/LB/CB/WR/TE/RB in 6th and 7th
    Get a DT from FA and maybe an OLB.
    The line would be:
    LT: 1st rounder or Osemele
    LG: Osemele or 3rd rounder or Glowinski
    C: Lewis, or late rounder
    RG: 3rd rounder or Glowinski
    RT: Gilliam or 3rd rounder

    We’d have 2nd rounder DT (keep Rubin), and a 5 or 6th rounder, and FA for the interior Dline
    We could have OLB from FA and/or mid rounder from draft in place of Irvin
    And a mid rounder safety backing up/rotating for McCray

    Other way is:

    2,
    LT 1-2 year for Okung, or another vet or 1/26 drafted player (maybe small trade up/down if necessary, but only for 5-6 places)
    LG Evans/Mathis/Foster/Ramirez (cheaper vet) or 3rd/4th rounder from draft
    Center stays Lewis or Jeanpierre or late rounder
    RG Glowinski or 3rd/4th rounder from draft
    RT Gilliam or 3rd/4th rounder from draft or 1st rounder (if LT is a vet)

    This is cheap, we still would have a 2nd round, 3 or 4th round, 5-6-7th round pick. I would spend those to DT, OLB, T/G/C, safety, CB, WR.
    I would trade Kam nontheless, and there would be plenty of money under the CAP (could resign even Kearse, or give new contract to Baldwin, Hauschka, or something like that).

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