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1hNEWWe get our weekly visit with @SandoNFL to get a peek behind the curtains of what is said on NFL headsets, and also react to some sound from Brian Fleury. Is he ready for what's ahead?
8AM PT2hNEWIs Richardson going to get the BOGO treatment in one of these Colts deals?
Buy one guard, get one QB for free?2hNEWIt’s very odd how much pressure the Chiefs are generating (2nd in pressure rate), and how little they are getting home (28th in sack rate).
Not sure I’ve seen a disparity that wide.
2hNEWIn today’s HB Daily12hNEWAden Durde says here that analytics have made teams so good at self-scouting that finding tendencies has become much harder.
That has turned them back more toward optimizing their plans to try and dictate to opponents and simplify keys.13hNEWGood football game tonight. I was not sure the Pats would be able to hang, but Maye has been terrific. His chemistry with AJ Brown is coming along and Eli Raridon has shown up.14hNEWDrake Maye makes a herculean play to get his team back into the game with a TD, and the broadcast crew sounds like they are watching paint dry.15hNEWLFG!15hNEWJohn doesn't mince wordsIt's Free Friday. Every section of today's issue is open.
Brian talked with 7 Seahawks on Wednesday and Thursday. Tap a player to listen.
John Benton
On Abe Lucas And The Line
16h agoNick Emmanwori and Tory Horton
I spoke to Nick Emmanwori, Tory Horton and Jackson Acker ahead of this game against the Chiefs
18h agoJackson Acker
New Fullback Jackson Acker
18h agoI start by apologizing for adding a "Jr" to his name for some reason. Embarrassing! We talk about how he evaluates his job as a route runner, some criticism he received for a route against the Broncos, and how coverage impacts his…
18h agoThis was a fascinating conversation with Nick Emmanwori about how he prioritizes what to work on given all the positions he plays. We also talked about how he assesses receivers as route runners.
18h agoA quick and funny chat with Ty Okada, where he gives us his strategy for wrestling AJ Barner
Wed agoJosh Jones wasn't sure I wanted to talk to him, but I did! We discussed what is needed to get things back on track on the OL.
Wed agoDNP did not practice Ltd limited Full full · ▲ better ▼ worse than the last report · New added · Cleared off the report
Grade is yards per route he takes away on a typical rep, against the receivers he covered. Every grade is adjusted for the opponent, and small samples are pulled toward average. Data: Sumer Sports player-by-player charting.
Grade is yards per route he adds on a typical route, against the defenders who covered him. Every grade is adjusted for the opponent, and small samples are pulled toward average. Data: Sumer Sports player-by-player charting.
Grade is how much he raises the pressure rate on a typical rep, in percentage points, against the blockers he faced. Every grade is adjusted for the opponent, and small samples are pulled toward average. Data: Sumer Sports player-by-player charting.
Grade is how much he cuts the pressure rate on a typical rep, in percentage points, against the rushers he faced. Every grade is adjusted for the opponent, and small samples are pulled toward average. Data: Sumer Sports player-by-player charting.
Grade is how much he cuts the disruption rate on a typical run, in percentage points, against the defenders he faced. Every grade is adjusted for the opponent, and small samples are pulled toward average. Data: Sumer Sports player-by-player charting.
VOR is value over replacement, from the Player Evaluator. 100 is replacement level, and every 30 points is a full step up. See every player →
Strong starter. Up 7.9 VOR after the Broncos game, from 127.3 to 135.2.
Best at coverage net positive plays % (93rd percentile) and yards allowed per coverage snap (ftn) (91st percentile). Weakest at penalties per 100 snaps (30th percentile).
Full profile in the Player Evaluator →Franchise cornerstone. The Chiefs' best player by VOR.
Best at yards after contact per attempt (99th percentile) and avoided tackle % (99th percentile). Weakest at receiving epa per game (56th percentile).
Full profile in the Player Evaluator →Below replacement. The lowest-rated regular in the Chiefs' lineup.
Best at missed tackle % (98th percentile) and epa per target allowed (ftn) (63rd percentile). Weakest at penalties per 100 snaps (3rd percentile).
Full profile in the Player Evaluator →Each spoke is one input to his VOR, scored against his position. The number in each dot is his percentile. The dashed ring is replacement level.
The HB matchup model: each player's opponent-adjusted grade over the reps he's projected to see against the other. Data: HB matchup model on Sumer Sports charting.
Each division's favorite, then the three best wild card bets. Bars are playoff odds. A 4 is a team's seed if the season ended today.
The other teams' games that matter most to the Seahawks' playoff odds the rest of the way.
Points of playoff odds, from 60,000 simulated seasons with the NFL's full tiebreakers. SB is the same game's worth to Seattle's Super Bowl odds. Updated 2h ago.
Each team's chance to win the NFC: get in, then win the bracket. A 4 is a team's seed if the season ended today.
The other teams' games that matter most to the Seahawks' Super Bowl odds the rest of the way.
Points of Super Bowl odds, from 60,000 simulated seasons with the NFL's full tiebreakers. Playoffs is the same game's worth to Seattle's playoff odds. Updated 2h ago.
Each division's favorite, then the three best wild card bets. Bars are playoff odds. A 4 is a team's seed if the season ended today.
The other teams' games that matter most to the Seahawks' playoff odds the rest of the way.
Points of playoff odds, from 60,000 simulated seasons with the NFL's full tiebreakers. SB is the same game's worth to Seattle's Super Bowl odds. Updated 3h ago.
Each team's chance to win the NFC: get in, then win the bracket. A 4 is a team's seed if the season ended today.
The other teams' games that matter most to the Seahawks' Super Bowl odds the rest of the way.
Points of Super Bowl odds, from 60,000 simulated seasons with the NFL's full tiebreakers. Playoffs is the same game's worth to Seattle's playoff odds. Updated 3h ago.
Seattle is 3-3, second in the NFC West behind an unbeaten San Francisco team. Kansas City comes in Sunday as a 3-point underdog, but the game is still the biggest single swing on the board this weekend. A win puts Seattle's playoff odds at 67.1%, up from 59.9% now. A loss drops them to 49.7%. The division is still a long shot either way, but it's more than double with a win than with a loss, 6.2% against 2.7%. These are from 10,000 simulated seasons, with the NFL's full tiebreakers.
| Playoffs | NFC West | 1 seed | Super Bowl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 59.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 7.6% |
| If Seattle beats the Chiefs | 67.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 8.7% |
| If the Chiefs beat Seattle | 49.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 6.0% |
The model's top projected edge for Seattle this week: Jaxon Smith-Njigba against Nohl Williams, projected for 23 yards on the 18 reps they are likely to share. That's a projected win over a ranked corner, not a weak one. Williams is the only Kansas City cornerback in the model's Top 20, at 15th. Smith-Njigba ranks 1st among its Top 20 receivers.
| Phase | Seahawk | Opponent | Favors | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass rush | Byron Murphy (IDL) | Creed Humphrey (C) | KC | 0.02 pressures |
| Pass rush | Charles Cross (T) | George Karlaftis (EDGE) | KC | 0.4 pressures |
| Passing game | Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) | Nohl Williams (CB) | SEA | 23 yards |
| Pass rush | Grey Zabel (G) | George Karlaftis (EDGE) | KC | 0.3 pressures |
| Run game | Leonard Williams (IDL) | Noah Gray (TE) | SEA | 0.4 disruptions |
| Pass rush | Demarcus Lawrence (EDGE) | Jaylon Moore (T) | SEA | 0.4 pressures |
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Seattle: 22nd in success rate (40.9%), 17th in explosive play rate (9.1%).
Both · 13Chiefs49ersBillsRavensJaguarsLionsPanthersBears+5 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
Seattle: 13th in 1st down success rate (44.4%), 30th in 2nd & 8+ escape rate (26.0%).
Ahead of the chains · 1049ersChiefsPanthersBillsCardinalsLionsJetsCowboys+2 more
Data: Sumer Sports charting. Open this grid →
Seattle: 24th in EPA per play (−0.079), 2nd in EPA per play allowed (−0.138).
Good at both · 7Chiefs49ersRavensJaguarsRamsPackersBengals
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
Seattle: 17th in explosive play rate (9.1%), 3rd in explosive play rate allowed (5.9%).
Hit big, allow little · 1149ersChiefsPanthersRavensJaguarsFalconsPackersRams+3 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
Seattle: 19th in dropback EPA (+0.038), 30th in rush EPA per play (−0.185).
Both work · 10Bills49ersChiefsJaguarsRavensLionsPanthersBears+2 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
Seattle: 4th in pressure rate (36.0%), 2nd in 20+ yard pass rate allowed (4.1%).
Get home, allow nothing deep · 9SeahawksChiefsVikingsBroncos49ersBrownsBuccaneersFalcons+1 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play · FTN charting. Open this grid →
Seattle: 3rd in rush success rate allowed (34.6%), 2nd in dropback success allowed (38.5%).
Stops both · 11VikingsChiefsSeahawksBroncosRavensBearsBuccaneersFalcons+3 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
Seattle: 22nd in success rate (40.9%), 17th in explosive play rate (9.1%).
Both · 13Chiefs49ersBillsRavensJaguarsLionsPanthersBears+5 more
Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →
The dashed line is the NFL average that week. Green beat it, orange didn't.
Open the Team Evaluator →Biggest climb: Panthers ▲2 to 8th
Seattle trails the 49ers by 3.3 points of HB rating, 4th in the NFL. Ranks are in the NFL.
The biggest 2026 cap hits, of $292.5M on 61 players.
Most value over replacement per $1M of 2026 cap.
21 Seahawks are in the last year of their deals, $59.8M of this year's cap. Best by VOR first.
Top 10% of the league's regulars at his position, by VOR.
Anthony Bradford (IR), Jadarian Price (IR)
Starters from ESPN's depth chart, last game's snaps and the injury report, the same as Tale of the Tape's Lineup Notes. Darker green is a higher VOR; 100 is a replacement-level player.
Top 89th to 16th17th to 24thBottom 8Average VOR of each group's regulars; 100 is replacement level
Before June 1 figures, from Over the Cap. Lowest VOR first among the cuts.
How the Seattle Seahawks silenced all doubts and became Super Bowl LX champions.
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See all 61 on HBTixBiggest climb: Panthers, up 2. Biggest drop: Texans, down 2.
Brian talked with 7 Seahawks on Wednesday and Thursday. Tap a player to listen.
John Benton
On Abe Lucas And The Line
16h agoNick Emmanwori and Tory Horton
I spoke to Nick Emmanwori, Tory Horton and Jackson Acker ahead of this game against the Chiefs
18h agoJackson Acker
New Fullback Jackson Acker
18h agoI start by apologizing for adding a "Jr" to his name for some reason. Embarrassing! We talk about how he evaluates his job as a route runner, some criticism he received for a route against the Broncos, and how coverage impacts his…
18h agoThis was a fascinating conversation with Nick Emmanwori about how he prioritizes what to work on given all the positions he plays. We also talked about how he assesses receivers as route runners.
18h agoA quick and funny chat with Ty Okada, where he gives us his strategy for wrestling AJ Barner
Wed agoJosh Jones wasn't sure I wanted to talk to him, but I did! We discussed what is needed to get things back on track on the OL.
Wed agoBrian's clips first, then the full press conferences.
The Chiefs use Xavier Worthy a lot on these mesh concepts. How do you contain his speed horizontally as much as vertically?
16h · on XHow much do tendencies show up in protection plans, like slides one way or the other.
16h · on XThe TE huddle before practice, where they usually pull in someone from another position group to judge a joke told by one of the guys. Looks like Maxen Hook was the judge today.
17h · on XOver half your passes vs DEN were out in less than 2.5s, but you were also hit more than ever in under 2.5s. How much do you just focus on yourself vs working across position groups to fix things?
18h · on XIt's easy to point out an open guy after the snap on film, but how much freedom do you have to identify the guy who will be open pre snap versus being asked to do pure progression?
18h · on XUnder center snaps are up across the league, and defense are blitzing it more, which is disrupting play action. Are you noticing that?
18h · on XA lot is asked of LBs in this defense where you play so many light boxes, especially on run fits and RPOs, how much does football IQ matter in this scheme compared to others?
18h · on X"I've been blessed with the quarterback's running out of bounds [for a sack]. If they want to do that a few more times, I'll take it."
18h · on XErnest Jones IV On Lumen Field's Home-Field Advantage "It's A Weapon For Us"
19h · Seahawks.com →
Social
Follow @hawkblogger →Fluery or Storm? OC Has Much To Prove
We get our weekly visit with @SandoNFL to get a peek behind the curtains of what is said on NFL headsets, and also react to some sound from Brian Fleury. Is he ready for what's ahead? 8AM PT
Is Richardson going to get the BOGO treatment in one of these Colts deals? Buy one guard, get one QB for free?
It’s very odd how much pressure the Chiefs are generating (2nd in pressure rate), and how little they are getting home (28th in sack rate). Not sure I’ve seen a disparity that wide.
In today’s HB Daily
Aden Durde says here that analytics have made teams so good at self-scouting that finding tendencies has become much harder. That has turned them back more toward optimizing their plans to try and dictate to opponents and simplify keys.
Good football game tonight. I was not sure the Pats would be able to hang, but Maye has been terrific. His chemistry with AJ Brown is coming along and Eli Raridon has shown up.
Drake Maye makes a herculean play to get his team back into the game with a TD, and the broadcast crew sounds like they are watching paint dry.
LFG!