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Friday, Oct 23 · Game week

BlueFriday

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Super BowlXLVIIIChampions2013 seasonSEA 43 · DEN 8
Super BowlLXChampions2025 seasonSEA 29 · NE 13
Next up · Week 7 #4 Seahawks3-3 · HB rating +3.6 #2 vs Chiefs5-0 · HB rating +4.7
Sun · 5:20 PM PTLumen Field
2Days12Hours28Min
HB modelSEA by 0.9
Game week · vs Chiefs

Locker Room

Brian talked with 7 Seahawks on Wednesday and Thursday. Tap a player to listen.

Apple Podcasts →

John Benton

On Abe Lucas And The Line

12h ago

Nick Emmanwori and Tory Horton

I spoke to Nick Emmanwori, Tory Horton and Jackson Acker ahead of this game against the Chiefs

14h ago

Jackson Acker

New Fullback Jackson Acker

14h ago

Tory Horton

I start by apologizing for adding a "Jr" to his name for some reason. Embarrassing! We talk about how he evaluates his job as a route runner, some criticism he received for a route against the Broncos, and how coverage impacts his…

14h ago

Nick Emmanwori

This was a fascinating conversation with Nick Emmanwori about how he prioritizes what to work on given all the positions he plays. We also talked about how he assesses receivers as route runners.

14h ago

Ty Okada

A quick and funny chat with Ty Okada, where he gives us his strategy for wrestling AJ Barner

Wed ago

Josh Jones

Josh Jones wasn't sure I wanted to talk to him, but I did! We discussed what is needed to get things back on track on the OL.

Wed ago

AJ Barner

Talks Leadership

Wed ago
Injury report 2 of 3 · Thursday

Who's practicing: Seahawks vs Chiefs

Next report Friday about 1:30 PM PT, with game status. Seahawks.com →

DNP did not practice Ltd limited Full full · ▲ better ▼ worse than the last report · New added · Cleared off the report

Seahawks

WedThu
Chazz Surratt LB · Calf DNPDNP
Connor O'Toole LB · Hamstring DNPDNP
Drake Thomas LB · Ankle DNPDNP
DeMarcus Lawrence LB · NIR-Resting Player DNPLtd ▲
Drew Lock QB · Right Elbow LtdLtd
Uchenna Nwosu LB · Hip –Ltd New
Anthony Bradford G · Knee LtdFull ▲
Beau Stephens G · Knee LtdFull ▲
Rashid Shaheed WR · Hip LtdFull ▲
Tyrice Knight LB · Oblique LtdFull ▲
Zach Charbonnet RB · Knee FullFull

Chiefs

WedThu
Jaylon Moore OT · Concussion DNPDNP
Rashee Rice WR · Hamstring/Knee DNPDNP
Cooper McDonald LB · Knee LtdLtd
L'Jarius Sneed CB · Knee LtdLtd
Travis Kelce TE · Ankle LtdLtd
Chamarri Conner DB · Knee FullFull
Cyrus Allen WR · Knee FullFull
Patrick Mahomes QB · Knee FullFull
Trey Smith G · Hip FullFull

The Show

Presented by
All episodes →
1:48:33
Latest episode · Thu, Oct 22 · 9K views

Jeff Simmons Show: Seahawks Crossover with Rob Staton

Rob Staton of Seahawks Draft Blog joins the Jeff Simmons Show ahead of Seahawks-Chiefs to break down the recurring offensive issues surrounding Brian Fleury, how John Schneider…

Listen to this episodeDaily Seahawks Podcast
Ad-free on Patreon Earlier this week
  • STUFFED! The Art of NFL Run Defense1:06
  • REAL HAWK TALK: Big Test From KC1:11
  • FIRST LOOK: Seahawks vs Chiefs1:07
Locker Room · 9 player clips this week→
Brought to you by Local team. Local coverage.go.pemco.com/hawkblogger

This Week in the Numbers

HB Analytics →
Seahawks spotlight

Nick Emmanwori

Cornerback · Seahawks
132.2VOR

Strong starter. Up 7.9 VOR after the Broncos game, from 127.3 to 135.2.

91759351333030Yards Allowed perCoverage Snap (FTN)Yards per Routevs Receivers FacedCoverage Net PositivePlays %EPA per TargetAllowed (FTN)Pass Breakups + INTsper Target %Missed Tackle%Penalties per100 Snaps

Best at coverage net positive plays % (93rd percentile) and yards allowed per coverage snap (ftn) (91st percentile). Weakest at penalties per 100 snaps (30th percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →
One to watch

Kenneth Walker

Running back · Chiefs
197.5VOR

Franchise cornerstone. The Chiefs' best player by VOR.

99919999997456Yards After Contactper AttemptRush SuccessRate %Avoided Tackle%EPA perRushRushing Net PositivePlays %Receiving Yards perRoute RunReceiving EPAper Game

Best at yards after contact per attempt (99th percentile) and avoided tackle % (99th percentile). Weakest at receiving epa per game (56th percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →
One to pick on

L'Jarius Sneed

Cornerback · Chiefs
64.2VOR

Below replacement. The lowest-rated regular in the Chiefs' lineup.

48326310983Yards Allowed perCoverage Snap (FTN)Yards per Routevs Receivers FacedCoverage Net PositivePlays %EPA per TargetAllowed (FTN)Pass Breakups + INTsper Target %Missed Tackle%Penalties per100 Snaps

Best at missed tackle % (98th percentile) and epa per target allowed (ftn) (63rd percentile). Weakest at penalties per 100 snaps (3rd percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →

Each spoke is one input to his VOR, scored against his position. The number in each dot is his percentile. The dashed ring is replacement level.

The Playoff Race

Explore every team →

Seahawks' playoff odds

60%to make the playoffs
Win the West
5%
1 seed
2%
Super Bowl
8%
1 seed 2%Seeds 2-4 3%Seeds 5-7 56%Out 40%

Projected NFC field

Each division's favorite, then the three best wild card bets. Bars are playoff odds. A 4 is a team's seed if the season ended today.

Division favorites

  1. 49ers6-0299%
  2. Vikings5-0194%
  3. Panthers3-2375%
  4. Giants3-2-1447%

Wild cards

  1. Packers4-2565%
  2. Lions3-2764%
  3. Seahawks3-360%

In the hunt

  1. Bears4-2659%
  2. Cowboys2-432%
  3. Rams2-431%

Rooting interests

The other teams' games that matter most to the Seahawks' playoff odds the rest of the way.

Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 Root for the 49ers vs Rams +4.0−0.1 SB
Week 7 · Thu, Oct 22 Root for the Patriots at Bears +3.5+0.4 SB
Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 Root for the Dolphins vs Bears +3.3+0.4 SB
Week 8 · Thu, Oct 29 Root for the Panthers at Packers +3.3+0.4 SB
Every game, every team →

Points of playoff odds, from 60,000 simulated seasons with the NFL's full tiebreakers. SB is the same game's worth to Seattle's Super Bowl odds. Updated 6h ago.

Insight of the Day

HB Daily →
YesterdayThu, Oct 22 · Matchups to watch

Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects to beat the only Chiefs corner in the model's Top 20

The model's top projected edge for Seattle this week: Jaxon Smith-Njigba against Nohl Williams, projected for 23 yards on the 18 reps they are likely to share. That's a projected win over a ranked corner, not a weak one. Williams is the only Kansas City cornerback in the model's Top 20, at 15th. Smith-Njigba ranks 1st among its Top 20 receivers.

The model's matchups, Kansas City at Seattle
PhaseSeahawkOpponentFavorsProjected
Pass rushByron Murphy (IDL)Creed Humphrey (C)KC0.02 pressures
Pass rushCharles Cross (T)George Karlaftis (EDGE)KC0.4 pressures
Passing gameJaxon Smith-Njigba (WR)Nohl Williams (CB)SEA23 yards
Pass rushGrey Zabel (G)George Karlaftis (EDGE)KC0.3 pressures
Run gameLeonard Williams (IDL)Noah Gray (TE)SEA0.4 disruptions
Pass rushDemarcus Lawrence (EDGE)Jaylon Moore (T)SEA0.4 pressures
1 more row in the issue.
Read yesterday's issue
WednesdayWed, Oct 21 · Chiefs

Something has to give: Seattle's 35-game streak without a 100-yard rusher, against Walker's four 100-yard games in five

The last time it happened was James Cook, 111 yards on 17 carries, October 27, 2024. A few backs have come within shouting distance since. The next five highest: Josh Jacobs's 94 on December 15, 2024, Kyren Williams's 91 on 12 carries last November, James Conner's 90 that same December, Jonathan Taylor's 87 this past December and Bijan Robinson's 86 a week before that. This season's best against Seattle is Christian McCaffrey's 68, in Week 5.

The closest calls since Cook
DateOpponentTop rusherYards
Dec 15, 2024GBJosh Jacobs94
Nov 16, 2025LAKyren Williams91
Dec 8, 2024ARIJames Conner90
Dec 14, 2025INDJonathan Taylor87
Dec 7, 2025ATLBijan Robinson86
Read Wednesday's issue
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Thu, Oct 22

Tale of the Tape: Chiefs Present Rough Matchup

The last time Kenneth Walker III carried the ball for the Seahawks, he ran for 135 yards in the Super Bowl and walked off the field as its MVP. A few weeks earlier, he scored three touchdowns in the…

Fri, Oct 16

The Morning After: Mile Low In Denver

Mike Macdonald has faced challenges before. He had a defense that was malfunctioning during his first season as head coach in Seattle. His offense was both ineffective and divergent from the identity…

Wed, Oct 14

Tale of the Tape: Seahawks vs Broncos

Pain is a part of the NFL. The Seahawks are dealing with the physical and emotional toll of an intense divisional loss to the 49ers on Sunday. Their schedule does them no favors by sending them on…

Mon, Oct 12

The Morning After: Scuffling Offense Dooms Seahawks

The Seahawks are in trouble. It would be easy to look at a close loss to the undefeated 49ers and come to the conclusion that they are just a few adjustments away from being the best team in…

Tue, Oct 6

Tale of the Tape: Seahawks vs 49ers

Here we are again. Seahawks versus 49ers. One team enters undefeated. The other team enters with a dust-free Lombardi Trophy. Whichever team wins will leave in first place in the NFL’s toughest…

Mon, Oct 5

The Morning After: Seahawks Have Yet To Run It Forward

Mike Macdonald was clear that he did not want the 2026 Seahawks squad to live in the past. There would be no talk of defending their Super Bowl championship, and the notion of “running it back” was…

HB Analytics

All tools →
Team Grid of the Day · TodayBuild your own grid →

Efficient or explosive?

SUCCESS RATE · BETTER →EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: 46.4% (11th), 4.5% (32nd)Atlanta Falcons: 43.8% (14th), 10.7% (9th)Baltimore Ravens: 47.9% (6th), 12.8% (3rd)Buffalo Bills: 49.0% (4th), 16.0% (1st)Carolina Panthers: 44.3% (13th), 10.7% (8th)Chicago Bears: 46.8% (10th), 9.7% (12th)Cincinnati Bengals: 47.1% (8th), 8.4% (19th)Cleveland Browns: 39.7% (26th), 7.2% (26th)Dallas Cowboys: 46.9% (9th), 6.4% (28th)Denver Broncos: 37.5% (28th), 5.9% (30th)Detroit Lions: 49.1% (3rd), 10.6% (10th)Green Bay Packers: 40.1% (25th), 9.2% (14th)Houston Texans: 43.2% (16th), 10.0% (11th)Indianapolis Colts: 42.1% (19th), 9.3% (13th)Jacksonville Jaguars: 48.0% (5th), 10.7% (7th)Kansas City Chiefs: 49.5% (2nd), 12.9% (2nd)Los Angeles Rams: 47.5% (7th), 9.2% (16th)Los Angeles Chargers: 35.9% (31st), 7.8% (24th)Las Vegas Raiders: 42.7% (17th), 8.3% (21st)Miami Dolphins: 37.4% (29th), 11.7% (5th)Minnesota Vikings: 35.7% (32nd), 8.1% (22nd)New England Patriots: 44.9% (12th), 10.8% (6th)New Orleans Saints: 41.6% (20th), 7.0% (27th)New York Giants: 42.3% (18th), 7.5% (25th)New York Jets: 43.8% (15th), 9.2% (15th)Philadelphia Eagles: 36.5% (30th), 5.2% (31st)Pittsburgh Steelers: 40.8% (23rd), 8.3% (20th)San Francisco 49ers: 52.7% (1st), 12.5% (4th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 38.8% (27th), 8.0% (23rd)Tennessee Titans: 40.1% (24th), 6.3% (29th)Washington Commanders: 41.1% (21st), 8.8% (18th)Seattle Seahawks: 40.9% (22nd), 9.1% (17th)BothBig plays, few small onesSteady, no splashNeither
SUCCESS RATE · BETTER →EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: 46.4% (11th), 4.5% (32nd)Atlanta Falcons: 43.8% (14th), 10.7% (9th)Baltimore Ravens: 47.9% (6th), 12.8% (3rd)Buffalo Bills: 49.0% (4th), 16.0% (1st)Carolina Panthers: 44.3% (13th), 10.7% (8th)Chicago Bears: 46.8% (10th), 9.7% (12th)Cincinnati Bengals: 47.1% (8th), 8.4% (19th)Cleveland Browns: 39.7% (26th), 7.2% (26th)Dallas Cowboys: 46.9% (9th), 6.4% (28th)Denver Broncos: 37.5% (28th), 5.9% (30th)Detroit Lions: 49.1% (3rd), 10.6% (10th)Green Bay Packers: 40.1% (25th), 9.2% (14th)Houston Texans: 43.2% (16th), 10.0% (11th)Indianapolis Colts: 42.1% (19th), 9.3% (13th)Jacksonville Jaguars: 48.0% (5th), 10.7% (7th)Kansas City Chiefs: 49.5% (2nd), 12.9% (2nd)Los Angeles Rams: 47.5% (7th), 9.2% (16th)Los Angeles Chargers: 35.9% (31st), 7.8% (24th)Las Vegas Raiders: 42.7% (17th), 8.3% (21st)Miami Dolphins: 37.4% (29th), 11.7% (5th)Minnesota Vikings: 35.7% (32nd), 8.1% (22nd)New England Patriots: 44.9% (12th), 10.8% (6th)New Orleans Saints: 41.6% (20th), 7.0% (27th)New York Giants: 42.3% (18th), 7.5% (25th)New York Jets: 43.8% (15th), 9.2% (15th)Philadelphia Eagles: 36.5% (30th), 5.2% (31st)Pittsburgh Steelers: 40.8% (23rd), 8.3% (20th)San Francisco 49ers: 52.7% (1st), 12.5% (4th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 38.8% (27th), 8.0% (23rd)Tennessee Titans: 40.1% (24th), 6.3% (29th)Washington Commanders: 41.1% (21st), 8.8% (18th)Seattle Seahawks: 40.9% (22nd), 9.1% (17th)BothBig plays, few small onesSteady, no splashNeither

Seattle: 22nd in success rate (40.9%), 17th in explosive play rate (9.1%).

Both · 13Chiefs49ersBillsRavensJaguarsLionsPatriotsPanthers+5 more

Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →

This week
Team Evaluator · last 4 games

Seattle's trends

Offense · 24ththis season
−0.60−0.40−0.20−0.00+0.20−0.05Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.43Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5−0.10Week 6: at Denver BroncosWk 6
Defense · 2ndlower is better
−0.20−0.100.00+0.10−0.08Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.14Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5−0.14Week 6: at Denver BroncosWk 6

The dashed line is the NFL average that week. Green beat it, orange didn't.

Open the Team Evaluator →
Updated 22h ago

Power Rankings

Biggest climb: Patriots ▲4 to 5th

See all 32 →
Player Evaluator

Seahawks by VOR

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR173 VOR · 29th in NFL
Julian LoveS168 VOR · 39th in NFL
Leonard WilliamsIDL159 VOR · 65th in NFL
Byron MurphyIDL153 VOR · 89th in NFL
All 886 regulars →
Seahawks Cap Outlook · 2026

Where the money goes

Drew LockQB$2.8M · 140 VOR
Uchenna NwosuEDGE$20.0M · 121 VOR
Rodney ThomasS$1.0M · 118 VOR
George HolaniRB$1.1M · 102 VOR
Ty OkadaS$1.1M · 101 VOR

21 Seahawks are in the last year of their deals, $59.8M of this year's cap. Best by VOR first.

Open →

Roster management

Full roster breakdown →
Biggest holeTE: AJ Barner

71.9 VOR, 47th of 48 at TE. Next up: Eric Saubert.

Blue Chips

Top 10% of the league's regulars at his position, by VOR.

Out

Anthony Bradford (IR), Jadarian Price (IR)

Starters from ESPN's depth chart, last game's snaps and the injury report, the same as Tale of the Tape's Lineup Notes. Darker green is a higher VOR; 100 is a replacement-level player.

  1. WR1Jaxon Smith-Njigba172.7
  2. WR2Rashid Shaheed91.7
  3. WR3Cooper Kupp85.2
  4. LTCharles Cross135.0
  5. LGGrey Zabel102.5
  6. CJalen Sundell100.5
  7. RGChristian Haynes103.7
  8. RTAbraham Lucas88.8
  9. QBSam Darnold85.5
  10. TEAJ Barner71.9
  11. RBEmanuel Wilson93.8
  12. FBBrady Russell–
  13. LDELeonard Williams158.9
  14. NTByron Murphy II152.7
  15. RDEJarran Reed96.0
  16. WLBDeMarcus Lawrence140.7
  17. LILBDrake Thomas143.0
  18. RILBErnest Jones IV142.8
  19. SLBUchenna Nwosu121.1
  20. LCBDevon Witherspoon131.0
  21. SSTy Okada100.8
  22. FSJulian Love167.7
  23. RCBJosh Jobe93.8
  24. NBNick Emmanwori132.2
Offense28th of 32 by VOR · 47% of the cap
$137.9M of Seattle's $292.5M cap
Defense1st of 32 by VOR · 49% of the cap
$142.2M of Seattle's $292.5M cap

Top 89th to 16th17th to 24thBottom 8Average VOR of each group's regulars; 100 is replacement level

XLatest from BrianFollow on X
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 7h

Aden Durde says here that analytics have made teams so good at self-scouting that finding tendencies has become much harder. That has turned them back more toward optimizing their plans to try and dictate to opponents and simplify keys.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 9h

Good football game tonight. I was not sure the Pats would be able to hang, but Maye has been terrific. His chemistry with AJ Brown is coming along and Eli Raridon has shown up.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 10h

Drake Maye makes a herculean play to get his team back into the game with a TD, and the broadcast crew sounds like they are watching paint dry.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 10h

LFG!

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 10h

John doesn't mince words

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 12h

Anthony Bradford goes to FULL, and looks set to start. Zach Charbonnet FULL for a second straight day. Tyrice Knight moves to FULL, which matters more with Drake Thomas not practicing. Uchenna Nwosu NEW hip injury was limited Jaylon Moore and Rashee Rice DNP for KC.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 12h

Anthony Bradford goes to FULL, and looks set to start. Zach Charbonnet FULL for a second straight day. Tyrice Knight moves to FULL, which matters more with Drake Thomas not practicing. Jaylon Moore and Rashee Rice DNP for KC.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 12h

The Chiefs use Xavier Worthy a lot on these mesh concepts. How do you contain his speed horizontally as much as vertically?

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 12h

I caught up with Seahawks OL coach John Benton on the state of the Seahawks offensive line and where he learned to shred on the guitar

More on X →
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