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Game week Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · 5:20 PM PT · Lumen Field
Seahawks3-3 · #4 · +3.6
 vs
Chiefs4-0 · #3 · +4.1
HB modelSEA by 1.5

Rating gap of 0.5 points, plus about 2 for Seattle at home.

Get ready for Kansas City
1:02Solving Abe & ZabelA Plan To Cut Pressure0:59Seahawks SaturdayTime for Cope or Hope?1:00Macdonald Sticking With Sam
Rooting Guide

Who to root for this week

The NFC West and every NFC team within a game and a half of Seattle. Times Pacific.

2 of 4 went our way
FinalOur way
Saints34
Giants27
NFC · Giants 3-1-1
FinalNot our way
Bears31
Falcons23
NFC · Bears 3-2
FinalNot our way
Panthers25
Eagles14
NFC · Panthers 2-2
FinalOur way
Steelers26
Buccaneers19
NFC · Buccaneers 1-4
Q3 3:26Our way so far
Cardinals12
Rams9
NFC West · Rams 2-3
Halftime
Chargers3
Chiefs19
Seattle's next opponent
5:20 PM · NBCDAL −1.5
Cowboys
Packers
NFC · Packers 3-2
Mon 5:15 PM · ESPNSF −7.5
Commanders
49ers
NFC West · 49ers 5-0

The Show

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1:02:05
Latest episode · Sun, Oct 18 · 5.5K views

Solving Abe & Zabel: A Plan To Cut Pressure

Two of the Seahawks most promising young offensive linemen, Grey Zabel and Abe Lucas, are giving up more pressure this season. I have done an investigation into why, and what to…

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Earlier this week
  • SEAHAWKS SATURDAY: Time for Cope or Hope?0:59
  • Macdonald Sticking With Sam1:00
  • POSTGAME SHOW: Seahawks Continue Downward Spiral0:54
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Insight of the Day

HB Daily →
TodaySun, Oct 18 · Around the NFL

Sam Darnold has been throwing into tight windows. Does that lead to more interceptions?

Contested balls don't line up with interception-worthy throws either. That correlation is -0.09, essentially no link.

How closely each measure tracks interception rate, QB seasons with 200+ attempts
MeasureQB seasonsCorrelationRank correlationWeighted by attempts
Tight-window throws (NGS), 2016-20253460.190.180.20
Contested balls (FTN), 2022-20251430.120.050.11
Contested balls vs. interception-worthy throws (FTN), 2022-2025143−0.09−0.03−0.06
Read today's issue
YesterdaySat, Oct 17 · Rooting Guide

Who to root for this weekend

Four division leaders hold a playoff spot in the NFC right now: San Francisco, Minnesota, the Giants and Carolina. Three more teams are tied for the three wild card spots at 3-2: Chicago, Detroit and Green Bay. Seattle, at 3-3, sits half a game behind that tie.

The NFC's playoff picture, Week 6
TeamDivisionWL
SFWest50
MINNorth50
NYGEast42
SEAWest33
CHINorth32
DETNorth32
2 more rows in the issue.
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Fri, Oct 16

The Morning After: Mile Low In Denver

Mike Macdonald has faced challenges before. He had a defense that was malfunctioning during his first season as head coach in Seattle. His offense was both ineffective and divergent from the identity…

Wed, Oct 14

Tale of the Tape: Seahawks vs Broncos

Pain is a part of the NFL. The Seahawks are dealing with the physical and emotional toll of an intense divisional loss to the 49ers on Sunday. Their schedule does them no favors by sending them on…

Mon, Oct 12

The Morning After: Scuffling Offense Dooms Seahawks

The Seahawks are in trouble. It would be easy to look at a close loss to the undefeated 49ers and come to the conclusion that they are just a few adjustments away from being the best team in…

HB Analytics

All tools →
Team Grid of the Day · TodayBuild your own grid →

Offense against defense

EPA PER PLAY · BETTER →EPA PER PLAY ALLOWED · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: −0.018 (16th), +0.124 (29th)Atlanta Falcons: −0.027 (20th), −0.036 (13th)Baltimore Ravens: +0.152 (6th), −0.027 (15th)Buffalo Bills: +0.216 (1st), +0.134 (30th)Carolina Panthers: +0.119 (8th), +0.024 (21st)Chicago Bears: +0.023 (12th), +0.010 (20th)Cincinnati Bengals: +0.072 (10th), −0.031 (14th)Cleveland Browns: −0.084 (25th), −0.020 (16th)Dallas Cowboys: +0.128 (7th), +0.193 (32nd)Denver Broncos: −0.089 (27th), −0.040 (12th)Detroit Lions: +0.180 (3rd), +0.155 (31st)Green Bay Packers: −0.024 (18th), −0.046 (10th)Houston Texans: +0.005 (14th), −0.040 (11th)Indianapolis Colts: −0.051 (22nd), +0.099 (26th)Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.155 (5th), −0.088 (3rd)Kansas City Chiefs: +0.176 (4th), −0.054 (7th)Los Angeles Rams: +0.076 (9th), −0.053 (9th)Los Angeles Chargers: −0.207 (32nd), −0.057 (6th)Las Vegas Raiders: +0.007 (13th), +0.008 (19th)Miami Dolphins: −0.120 (29th), +0.108 (28th)Minnesota Vikings: −0.103 (28th), −0.210 (1st)New England Patriots: +0.043 (11th), −0.006 (17th)New Orleans Saints: −0.054 (23rd), +0.101 (27th)New York Giants: −0.019 (17th), +0.032 (22nd)New York Jets: −0.025 (19th), −0.062 (5th)Philadelphia Eagles: −0.127 (30th), +0.072 (24th)Pittsburgh Steelers: −0.046 (21st), +0.000 (18th)San Francisco 49ers: +0.206 (2nd), −0.070 (4th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: −0.088 (26th), −0.054 (8th)Tennessee Titans: −0.154 (31st), +0.078 (25th)Washington Commanders: −0.016 (15th), +0.040 (23rd)Seattle Seahawks: −0.079 (24th), −0.138 (2nd)Good at bothDefense carries itOffense carries itStruggling
EPA PER PLAY · BETTER →EPA PER PLAY ALLOWED · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: −0.018 (16th), +0.124 (29th)Atlanta Falcons: −0.027 (20th), −0.036 (13th)Baltimore Ravens: +0.152 (6th), −0.027 (15th)Buffalo Bills: +0.216 (1st), +0.134 (30th)Carolina Panthers: +0.119 (8th), +0.024 (21st)Chicago Bears: +0.023 (12th), +0.010 (20th)Cincinnati Bengals: +0.072 (10th), −0.031 (14th)Cleveland Browns: −0.084 (25th), −0.020 (16th)Dallas Cowboys: +0.128 (7th), +0.193 (32nd)Denver Broncos: −0.089 (27th), −0.040 (12th)Detroit Lions: +0.180 (3rd), +0.155 (31st)Green Bay Packers: −0.024 (18th), −0.046 (10th)Houston Texans: +0.005 (14th), −0.040 (11th)Indianapolis Colts: −0.051 (22nd), +0.099 (26th)Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.155 (5th), −0.088 (3rd)Kansas City Chiefs: +0.176 (4th), −0.054 (7th)Los Angeles Rams: +0.076 (9th), −0.053 (9th)Los Angeles Chargers: −0.207 (32nd), −0.057 (6th)Las Vegas Raiders: +0.007 (13th), +0.008 (19th)Miami Dolphins: −0.120 (29th), +0.108 (28th)Minnesota Vikings: −0.103 (28th), −0.210 (1st)New England Patriots: +0.043 (11th), −0.006 (17th)New Orleans Saints: −0.054 (23rd), +0.101 (27th)New York Giants: −0.019 (17th), +0.032 (22nd)New York Jets: −0.025 (19th), −0.062 (5th)Philadelphia Eagles: −0.127 (30th), +0.072 (24th)Pittsburgh Steelers: −0.046 (21st), +0.000 (18th)San Francisco 49ers: +0.206 (2nd), −0.070 (4th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: −0.088 (26th), −0.054 (8th)Tennessee Titans: −0.154 (31st), +0.078 (25th)Washington Commanders: −0.016 (15th), +0.040 (23rd)Seattle Seahawks: −0.079 (24th), −0.138 (2nd)Good at bothDefense carries itOffense carries itStruggling

Seattle: 24th in EPA per play (−0.079), 2nd in EPA per play allowed (−0.138).

Good at both · 749ersJaguarsChiefsRamsRavensBengalsTexans

Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →

This week
More from HB Analytics
Team Evaluator · last 4 games

Seattle's trends

Offense · 24ththis season
−0.60−0.40−0.20−0.00+0.20−0.05Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.43Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5−0.10Week 6: at Denver BroncosWk 6
Defense · 2ndlower is better
−0.20−0.100.00+0.10−0.08Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.14Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5−0.14Week 6: at Denver BroncosWk 6

The dashed line is the NFL average that week. Green beat it, orange didn't.

Open the Team Evaluator →
Updated 8h ago

Power Rankings

See all 32 →
Player Evaluator

Seahawks by VOR

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR170 VOR · 28th in NFL
Julian LoveS167 VOR · 33rd in NFL
Leonard WilliamsIDL163 VOR · 44th in NFL
Byron MurphyIDL158 VOR · 61st in NFL
All 849 regulars →
Seahawks Cap Outlook · 2026

Where the money goes

Sam DarnoldQB$37.9M
Leonard WilliamsIDL$22.0M
Uchenna NwosuEDGE$20.0M
Cooper KuppWR$17.5M
Devon WitherspoonCB$15.3M

The biggest 2026 cap hits, of $294.6M on 63 players.

Open →
More from HB Analytics

Social

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XLatest from BrianFollow on X
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 3h

I went through the data and the film to show what is going on with Abe Lucas and Grey Zabel, and a plan to dramatically reduce quick pressures.
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 5h

Who wants to watch a podcast when real football is on TV? Maybe nobody. I'm going live anyway after I found some evidence about the root cause of why Grey Zabel and Abe Lucas are struggling more this year, and what to do about it. Come on over!
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Sat

The latest season of The Diplomat was amazing. Kudos to all who were involved in writing, directing and acting in it. Wow.
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Sat

It turns out the Seahawks losing has been good for one thing. @realjeffsimmons and I managed to sleep in today. We dove into the new priority questions about the Seahawks.
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Sat

Seahawks Saturday will be at 11AM today with @realjeffsimmons. See you there!
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Fri

A lot of Seahawks fans have their pitchforks out for Sam Darnold and Brian Fleury. Mike Macdonald is sticking with both of them. I explain why I believe he got to that conclusion, and the task ahead.
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Fri

Mike Macdonald has made a few decisions. Let's talk about what he's doing with his QB and OC, and what may lay ahead. Come on over!
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Fri

Elijah Arroyo is getting imaging today, but no update on his availability yet, per Mike Macdonald
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · Fri

Anthony Bradford has a "really good chance of practicing and playing this week." "No update" on Zach Charbonnet. Jadarian Price is "doing great. We should be looking at a sooner rather than later return after this game." Per Mike Macdonald on @SeattleSports
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