Free Agent Big Board

After nearly completing my offseason analysis for the Seahawks, I am now in the process of building out my free agent big board. The big board ranks players, based on a variety of criteria, to determine which make the most sense for the Seahawks to pursue in free agency.

I ranked about 60 players last year, and found it a useful reference once free agency started. This year, I plan to rank many more, and am doing it position-by-position.

Scoring factors

ImpactHow much can the player impact the Seahawks in 2016?
Longevity – How much can the player impact the Seahawks over the next 3+ years?
Scheme fitHow well does the player fit how Seattle plays, and what they ask of that position?
Need How much do the Seahawks need to add a player that possesses these talents? This may differ by position. For example, the Seahawks need a left tackle more than center.
Affordability – What are the chances the Seahawks can afford this player?
Risk How likely is this player to earn the contract they would command? This takes into account confidence in a player’s performance, injury, off-field, and other things that could impact that question. A higher score means more risk.

 

The formula:

(impact * 2) + (longevity * 2) + (scheme fit * 2) + (need * 1.5) + (affordability * 5.5) – (risk*5) = Score

 

EDGE/Defensive Ends Big Board

freeagentEDGEbigboard

 

 

Courtney Upshaw was rumored to be a player the Seahawks might look at when he was drafted, and the Ravens are likely to let him test the market. He could be a solid replacement for Bruce Irvin as a SAM linebacker. He’s not a great pass rusher, but can set the edge and be a physical presence in the run game, and should be affordable.

William Hayes is a very productive pass rusher, who should have a slightly lower price tag due to his age. He would be a good addition to the pass rush rotation.

Bruce Irvin gets a lower grade because of his age and expected price tag. It does not seem likely that the Seahawks would get enough out of him for the price they would have to pay, based on how they use him.

Quinton Coples is one who intrigues me as a former first round pick who has had some productive years in the NFL, but has fallen out of favor. He’s just 25, and should be very cheap given his total lack of production last season.

Dwight Freeney is 36, but put up 8 sacks in less than a full year. He will be very cheap, and available late.

Tamba Hali is 32, and it will be interesting to see where he winds up, and what his price tag will be.

Olivier Vernon feels like the classic big free agent addition who never lives up to the deal. I’d steer clear.

Aldon Smith and Greg Hardy are two of the best edge defenders available, but both come with huge risks. Buyer beware.

2 Responses

  1. HD

    Coples may be that FA DE they need…at a price they can afford…Ryan Robinson off IR may be another rotational guy…he did impress in camp last year before he got hurt.

  2. Raymond

    Upshaw would be a solid player. Think he is more of a 2 down guy though and be in on a rotation. Price would have to be real good. Like 3m

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