Thursday, September 11, 2008

2008 Power Rankings Week 1

Stat-based power rankings probably only start being useful after about week 3, but I wanted to get started in week 1 this season to be sure. The top 10 remained pretty stable after week 3 last year and was a great predictor of making the playoffs. The Hawks better start a steep climb this week if they want to sniff the top 10 in two weeks.

Take some solace in the fact that ours was only the third worst ass beating in the NFL last week.

Seattle was the second most disappointing team compared to preseason stats, and I'd argue the most disappointing team based on expectations.

You can find an explanation of how I came up with my formula here.
















































































































































































































Rank
Team
Team Strength
Change From Last Week
1
Philadelphia
40.54
38.04
2
Denver
31.34
26.84
3
Buffalo
26.62
26.62
4
Dallas
23.55
26.65
5
Pittsburgh
23.39
21.29
6
Atlanta
22.05
18.65
7
Chicago
19.09
21.89
8
NY Giants
11.54
11.64
9
Tennessee
10.55
8.15
10
Baltimore
9.69
16.09
11
NY Jets
9.68
6.98
12
New England
8.91
18.31
13
Green Bay
7.4
14.70
14
New Orleans
5.73
-0.07
15
Arizona
4.22
2.02
16
Carolina
0.98
-8.42
17
San Diego
-0.98
-4.08
18
San Francisco
-4.22
-9.72
19
Tampa Bay
-5.73
-15.43
20
Minnesota
-7.4
-2.00
21
Kansas City
-8.91
-1.51
22
Cincinnati
-9.59
-6.29
23
Miami
-9.68
-16.78
24
Jacksonville
-10.55
-16.85
25
Washington
-11.54
-2.24
26
Indianapolis
-19.09
-9.39
27
Detroit
-22.05
-36.15
28
Houston
-23.39
-21.69
29
Cleveland
-23.55
-13.25
30
Seattle
-26.62
-35.22
31
Oakland
-31.24
-26.04
32
St. Louis
-40.54
-37.34

5 comments :

funballad said...

wow, i always have a soft spot for the Falcons but even as a fan i would be hard pressed to believe that they should be ranked 4th. Can't argue with how great they played but it was against the limpy lions. If they play tampa bay well then the high ranking will be a bit easier to defend. I do like the formula so far as i read but i think it does need a few weeks to stabilize. I am still in shock over the Fire Sale this week in Seattle. I was thinking of going to Seattle and try out but couldn't think of a position a 50 year old little fat hippie could play anymore.

hawkblogger said...

yes, remember this formula is based completely on performance and not on qualitative analysis. I will likely restart my NFC Stock Market posts soon where it's completely qualitative.

Last year, I spent half the season disagreeing with my power rankings on Green Bay. I didn't believe they were any good even though they were a Top 10 power rankings team from Week 3 on.

Hawkgirl said...

It's pretty sad to see us at #30 but hard to disagree with too. HB are you going to be at the game Sunday or watch from home?

hawkblogger said...

I'll be at the game, cheering like we're 10-0!

Hawkgirl said...

What section are you in? Would love to say hello if we're not too far apart. We're in 320... GO HAWKS!

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