The Morning Before: Seattle in the Upside Down

We have been here before. Seahawks versus 49ers. San Francisco looks much like that did when this rivalry mattered. They feature a brutish defense, a pounding running game, and a quarterback who can rise up and beat you. Seattle, though, only resembles their past selves in the way a relative shares the same eyes or the same smile. That was a team dominated by defense and an iconic running back, complimented by a dynamic young quarterback. This is a team centered around the best quarterback in football, with flashy weapons that fit like brass knuckles on his fists. Richard Sherman remains, but his colors have changed. Welcome to the upside down. In it, we will learn whether the evolution of Russell Wilson is enough to slay the demogorgon growing in the bay.

Just as it was when these teams faced off in 2012 and 2013, this game very well could be a foreshadowing of who will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Consider that the NFC West has supplied the NFC champion in four of the past seven seasons.

It sounds foolish to speak of Super Bowls when the Seahawks have barely beat the teams they have played and have one of the worst defenses and special teams in football thus far. Yet, that is what sits in front of them tonight.

Beat this team on their turf in prime time, and there really is no limit to what they can do the rest of the year. We have not seen Quandre Diggs play. We have not seen Josh Gordon play.

San Francisco deserves to be heavy favorites. They have eviscerated opponents. Their defense is like a sharknado that blew through a razor blade factory. They are that fast, that strong, that lethal.

It was nice when that sort of defense lived in the northwest. In fact, watching them play reminded me of the Seahawks Super Bowl defenses. When I studied those Seahawks teams back in the day, I found that history tended to side with dominant defenses over dominant offenses. Seattle versus Denver was one such example. Denver versus Carolina was another. New England versus the Rams a third.

As much as it can be intimidating facing a group like this, it can also be a catalyst. Beat this group, and no other should be able to hold you down. The confidence from overcoming this crew could catapult Seattle into rarified air.

It very well may take a game plan that many Seahawks fans have come to hate. Drop back 40+ times against this 49ers defensive line with this Seahawks offensive line and Wilson’s tendency to persist until a big play avails itself, and you are likely looking at 7+ sacks and probably a turnover or two.

No, the prudent plan here would be to hammer Chris Carson into this San Francisco defense. Yes, he has fumbled, but that cannot stop the team from utilizing him now. The 49ers will know it is coming. That will be the chance for Wilson to adjust calls at the line, as he has become so much more skilled at doing, and punish the 49ers through the air.

It must be punch with the run game and counterpunch with the pass. The 49ers will be sitting on short routes, assuming their pass rush will not allow any longer developing pass play to materialize.

The only way I see the Seahawks upsetting San Francisco is by finding a way to be effective in the run game. If the 49ers can bottle up Carson, and Wilson finds a way to win it anyway through the air, that would be even more impressive.

For that to happen, the Seahawks line would need to protect better than ever before, Wilson would need to get rid of the ball quickly and on target, his receivers would need to make contested catches and break tackles.

The key there could be Gordon. Silly as that may sound, he is the x-factor. Nobody knows what to expect from him in this game. When on, he has been one of the most dominant receivers in football. Maybe the most dominant.

He appears motivated and happy to be here. He is playing with a quarterback whose strengths match his own as a deep threat. Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf have done enough to require coverages to account for them. Gordon should have the most favorable coverage tonight, possibly of his career.

If he balls out in this game, other teams will adjust. There is no way the 49ers will come into this game focused on stopping him. If they do, it will open up chances for Metcalf, since they will never deprioritize Lockett.

Defensively, the Seahawks have been so dreadful that this game represents a chance to regain some pride. The 49ers run game is as impressive as their defense.

They will pound and pound and pound away, and their backs are not just looking for a few yards. They break explosive runs regularly. Matt Breida deserves a ton more credit than he is getting. The guy never goes down on first contact, and hits the hole at a million miles an hour. When blocked right, he is gone.

San Francisco is expected to get back their starting right and left tackles. They also get back their starting fullback. Their goal will be to assert their will through their run game.

There has never been a better time for the Seahawks defense to come together to play as one and tackle together. Diggs could be a real help here. His instincts, speed, and hitting are better than any safety Seattle has put out there so far this year.

It would not surprise me if Marquise Blair takes a backseat to Diggs and Bradley McDougald just because of the coaches emphasis on being assignment-correct. I would not agree with that decision, but it would not surprise me.

Poona Ford, Al Woods, and Jarran Reed need to be more than passable. They need to play inspired football. They need to be disruptive. Now is the time.

Bobby Wagner, Mychal Kendricks, and K.J. Wright must diagnose plays, shoot gaps, and be sound tacklers.

If the Seahawks can slow the 49ers run game and Jimmy Garoppolo beats you, that is something you just live with. If they do not stop the running game, this will not be close.

It is a shame that so many Seahawks fans are writing off their own team, and apologizing for their 7-2 record. I understand the frustration with the way the team has played and the lack of signature victory against an elite opponent. At the same time, the Seahawks have won nearly every game and have gone toe-to-toe with elites like the Saints and Ravens. It is not hard to argue Seattle could have won both of those games.

Many fans are suffering through meaningless football already. Seattle is playing in one of the best games of the season. They have earned that right. Enjoy it. Allow yourself to believe. It is far more fun.

We will learn a lot together tonight. At a time when fans seems to create so many divisions amongst ourselves for silly differences of opinion, let us unite in our support of the team we love and keep the arrows pointing out of the teepee. We face a fearsome enemy tonight. A familiar enemy. The world is betting against us. Time to stand up and fight.

Founder, Editor & Lead Writer
  1. Loved this column, Brian. Thank you.
    I’ve been muttering for days that this is a prove it game. I am really fired up for it, and can hardly wait. Like you stated on the podcast, I’ve got a crazy good feeling for no good reason.
    If the Hawks have a joyful flight home with the veterans riding first class, then all will be well.

  2. Nice sprinkle of optimism there, hopefully some of that will work. In addition to pounding Carson (likely what Saleh expects), I’d mix in some misdirection run plays with a pitch out the opposite direction to a guy who can cut back to the gap………….sounds like a Penny play. Gordon and Metcalf are both big bodies who could be useful on occasion as blockers on the edge. Hopefully Schotty has some of those kinds of runs on the sheet…………..a good way to punish a fast D front.

    It doesn’t get mentioned much, but the Niners have had extra days to game plan and rest, that concerns me some. Maybe that, if we’re lucky, could lead to some complacency.

    All the experts have the Seahawks pretty much labeled as toast, tough to go against them. After all, yesterday they had predicted (for the most part):
    Colts over Dolphins
    Rams over Steelers
    Boys over Vikings
    Chiefs over Titans
    Giants over Jets
    Bills over Browns
    And of course; Saints over Falcons

    One other distressing, for we Seahawk fans, outcome yesterday was the race for MVP. Russ was looking good………………until…………….Lamar Jackson the Invincible. You say it’s still early? Maybe, but the folks who do the MVP voting are easily distracted by the new, the bright, the shiny…………………….less so by the guy who does what’s expected of him. It’s now LJs to lose and Russ gets passed over…………….again.

  3. This is exactly the kind of game for which Russell Wilson (&, in great part because of his influence, the whole team) “lives”. He does his magic (including rallying the troops) best when underrated. He’s that “too short QB” who won the starting position as a rookie — & has never stopped believing. The club mentality is “as a man thinketh, so shall he be” – & you know what? That’s legit. Are the Seahawks a better team than the Niners? On paper, no. Can they beat the Niners? Yes, absolutely. Seahawks’ tools, work ethic, & mind-set can prevail. It’s great being a 12! #GoHawks! PS Can you imagine how uplifting & potentially life-changing for Josh Gordon contributing to a hard fought game tonight could be?!

    1. Seahawks have always played to the level of their competition. I have no doubt they will bring their A game tonight. Will be tight game in first half with Seahawks pulling away in the fourth quarter to win by 10

  4. Ken Norton Jr must become the catalyst in this game, and if he can somehow motivate this defensive line to play out of their minds, then the linebackers stop the 49’ers running attack, and the defensive secondary cleans up the rest. Seahawks 34 – San Francisco 27. Fingers crossed!

  5. I like the optimism on this board. To which I will add:

    Hawks in wolf gray. Hey, hey, yall.

    1. Every measurable of the game that we toss around in analyzing each post game result says that the Seahawks should suffer a serious beat down tonight against a team loaded with supposedly superior athletes and better regarded coaches as a whole. But the job of a fan is to look past the realities and hope that our guys reach down deep inside, find that will to win, and impose that will to over achieve. Spend it all boys, leave it on the field……….ya gotta bye week next to refuel.

  6. Most of the media says Russell is MVP but are ready to move off him as soon as someone has a great game no matter who opponent is !
    Russell rarely has a bad WHOLE game, maybe once in a season. But who do you want in the 4th quarter down by 14? Come on. There is only a few guys that have the IT factor ! Your never out of the game with him!
    The Seahawks would be so much better in the close games if the coaches would let Russell close the deal but they seem to like every game to go to the wire (Russell seems to enjoy it also? ) !
    Seahawks have the personell to win but play calling needs to be more in line with the game as it progresses in every quarter not just the 4th when Russell does everything on his own for the most part.
    Niners are a team with a chip and young but can be beat if played and coached with an attitude that we are prepared and we are the better team attitude.
    The season doesn’t hang on this game cause we see them at the end but tonight could seal mvp for Russell for what that’s worth

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